There’s also a significant risk of large hail, including the potential for 2-inch hail in Waco and Austin. Tornadoes are possible across central and eastern Texas, but there is the potential for strong, EF-2 tornadoes in areas including Waco, Killeen, Austin, Huntsville and Houston. There’s a significant risk of large hail. Areas shaded in the darkest red contour on the map below will have the greatest risk of severe weather.Ī few tornadoes, large hail and damaging wind gusts are all threats in this region.Ĭities included in Monday’s severe weather risk are Houston, Dallas/Fort Worth, Austin and Waco in Texas and Shreveport and Alexandria in Louisiana. Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop Monday afternoon and persist into Monday night from the eastern half of Texas to western and northern Louisiana and southwestern Arkansas. Tornadoes are possible across central and eastern Texas. Here’s everything we know right now, but since we are still a few days away from this potential severe weather outbreak, forecast changes can be expected in the days ahead. “Medium-range global model output – both deterministic and ensemble – continues to indicate a multiday severe weather event that will progress eastward from the Southern Plains Monday to the Southeast Wednesday,” the SPC wrote in its severe weather outlook issued Friday morning.īefore arriving in the South, this weather system will blanket the higher terrain of the Rockies in fresh snowfall on Sunday, while high winds howl through adjacent portions of the Plains and Southwest. Severe storm threat on Monday, March 21, 2022. The result of this setup will be large amounts of instability in the atmosphere, causing numerous severe storms to develop beginning Monday afternoon, followed by additional rounds of severe weather Tuesday and Wednesday as the area of low pressure tracks eastward through midweek. Warm, humid air will surge northward from the Gulf of Mexico out ahead of the low-pressure system and clash with cooler, drier air over the Rockies. No severe thunderstorms are expected anywhere in the United States on Sunday, but that will quickly change by Monday when this multiday siege of severe weather is likely to get underway.Ī strong southward dip in the jet stream will punch out of the Rockies and into the Southern Plains on Monday, leading to the development of an area of low pressure at the surface in this region. NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has been highlighting this threat since Tuesday, when it issued a rare severe weather outlook a week in advance of next week’s threat of destructive storms. There are strong indications that a potentially significant severe weather outbreak could materialize on multiple days this week across the south-central and southeastern U.S. Here's where tornadoes are most likely to occur in each month We're entering America's most active time of year for tornadoes Tornado Safety: Identifying the safest places inside your home
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